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    “双碳”目标下我国能源低碳转型路径及建议

    Low-Carbon Transition of China's Energy Sector and Suggestions with the ‘Carbon-Peak and Carbon-Neutrality’ Target

    • 摘要: 携手应对全球气候变化已经成为国际社会的广泛共识,中国作为全球应对气候变化的重要参与者和积极实践者,已将碳达峰、碳中和纳入生态文明建设整体布局。推进碳达峰、碳中和战略是一场广泛而深刻的经济社会系统性变革,其中能源系统低碳转型将是实现"双碳"目标的关键。在当前经济社会发展水平下,应采用"两步加速"的总体发展方案,近期可通过加快发展非化石能源,确保2030年前碳达峰,并实施以2℃温升目标和1.5℃温升目标为导向的长期转型路径,力争在2060年前实现碳中和。为保证"双碳"目标的实现,应大力加强高比例可再生能源及配套技术、煤电行业低碳转型路径以及碳捕集、利用和封存等关键技术或规划问题的研究。

       

      Abstract: Collaborate on climate change mitigation has become a widely-accepted consensus for the international community. As an important participant and active player of the global response to climate change, China has put ‘carbon-peak and carbon-neutrality’ into the overall layout of ecological conservation. The initiative of ‘carbon-peak and carbon neutrality’ is an extensive and profound reform for the entire economy and society, in which the low-carbon oriented transition of energy will be the key to achieve the target. Under the current level of economic and social development, the overall development plan of ‘two-step acceleration’ should be adopted. In the near term, non-fossil energy should be accelerated to achieve the carbon-peak target by 2030. 2℃ temperature-rise target and 1.5℃ temperature-rise target should be implemented in the medium and long term to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. In order to ensure the realization of the ‘carbon-peak and carbon-neutrality’ target, it is necessary to strengthen the research on key technologies or planning issues, including the power system with deep renewables penetration, low-carbon transition pathway of coal-fired power, and CCUS, etc.

       

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