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    基于自适应EMPC的压缩空气储能多级压缩机协调控制方法

    Coordinated Control of Multistage Compressors in Compressed Air Energy Storage Using Adaptive Economic Model Predictive Control

    • 摘要: 压缩空气储能(CAES)是实现可再生能源消纳的重要技术之一。然而,CAES系统压缩侧在储气过程中受负荷需求变化影响,易偏离高效运行区。为此,本文提出一种基于在线增量式最小二乘支持向量机(OI-LSSVM)的经济模型预测控制(EMPC)方法。首先建立CAES压缩侧动态仿真机理模型,并基于增量式NARX特征构建OI-LSSVM预测模型;然后,基于OI-LSSVM预测模型,以控制变量幅值和控制增量为约束条件,设计EMPC控制架构,求解最优控制输入,实现多级压缩机协同优化。仿真结果表明,所提出的OI-LSSVM模型具有自适应更新能力和较高的预测精度,总功率和有用功率预测MAPE分别为0.55%和0.67%;当系统总功率指令由116 MW阶跃上升至117 MW后,设计的协调控制方法可使系统综合效率由88.39%提高至88.55%,有效提升压缩侧动态运行能效。

       

      Abstract: Compressed air energy storage (CAES) is an important technology for facilitating renewable energy integration. However, variations in load demand during charging can cause the compression subsystem to deviate from its high-efficiency operating region. To address this issue, this study proposes an economic model predictive control (EMPC) method based on an online incremental least squares support vector machine (OI-LSSVM). First, a dynamic physics-based simulation model of the CAES compression subsystem is developed, and an OI-LSSVM prediction model is constructed using incremental nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs (NARX) features. An EMPC framework is then designed based on the prediction model, with constraints on control input magnitudes and increments. Optimal control inputs are determined to achieve coordinated optimization of multistage compressors. Simulation results demonstrate that the OI-LSSVM model provides adaptive updating capability and high prediction accuracy, with mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of 0.55% and 0.67% for total power and useful power, respectively. Following a step increase in the total power setpoint from 116 MW to 117 MW, the proposed coordinated control method increases the overall efficiency of the compression subsystem from 88.39% to 88.55%, thereby improving its energy efficiency during dynamic operation.

       

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