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    煤-氨混燃锅炉建模及近邻传播-最小支持向量机多模态验证优化

    Modeling of Coal-Ammonia Co-firing Boiler and Multi-modal Validation Optimization Using Affinity Propagation-Least Squares Support Vector Machine

    • 摘要: 针对传统单相煤燃烧锅炉模型的局限性,构建了完整的煤-氨混燃锅炉全流程模型,提出了一种改进的近邻传播-最小二乘支持向量机(affinity propagation-least squares support vector machine,AP-LS-SVM)动态多模态方法,并利用该方法进行了模型验证与精度优化。该模型由燃料预处理、燃烧室动力学和关键参数输出三大模块组成,可实现从燃料特性到锅炉输出的动态模拟。基于某电厂600 MW混燃锅炉实际数据,采用互信息(mutual information,MI)算法进行特征选择与数据重构,确定输入输出参数间的最优延迟时间,并利用所提AP-LS-SVM方法进行了验证。结果表明:模型拟合优度高,均大于0.950;相较于传统方法,各关键参数的预测误差显著降低,优化率达22.5%~58.1%;该方法有效提升了模型在掺氨比例0%~30%宽范围多变工况下的预测精度与适应性。

       

      Abstract: To overcome limitations of traditional single-phase coal combustion boiler models, a comprehensive full-process model for a coal-ammonia co-firing boiler was established. An improved affinity propagation-least squares support vector machine (AP-LS-SVM) dynamic multi-modal approach was proposed and applied for model validation and accuracy enhancement. The model consisted of three main modules: fuel pretreatment, combustion chamber dynamics, and key parameter output, which enabled dynamic simulation from fuel properties to boiler outputs. Based on actual operational data from a 600 MW co-firing boiler, the mutual information (MI) algorithm was employed for feature selection and data reconstruction to identify the optimal time delays between input and output parameters, and the proposed AP-LS-SVM method was then used for validation. Results show that the model achieves high goodness-of-fit values, all exceeding 0.950. Compared with conventional methods, prediction errors for all key parameters are significantly reduced, with optimization rates ranging from 22.5% to 58.1%. The method effectively improves the prediction accuracy and adaptability of the model under wide and varying operating conditions with ammonia co-firing ratios from 0% to 30%.

       

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