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    基于典型场景分析的PSO-DP的离网风光电解制氢系统双层嵌套配置优化策略

    Two-layer Nested Configuration Optimization Strategy for Off-grid Wind-Solar Electrolysis Hydrogen Production System Based on Typical Scenario Analysis of PSO-DP

    • 摘要: 为了解决离网型风光电解制氢系统在配置过程中,因环境数据高维波动性导致的系统效率低、经济性不足等问题,对典型场景下的光伏、风机以及蓄电池的容量进行了优化研究。首先,构建了包含电解槽寿命模型在内的关键组件数学模型。随后,创新性地采用场景生成技术将全年环境数据压缩为12个典型场景,以降低优化的复杂度。同时,以平准化制氢成本最小化为目标函数,考虑电解槽寿命衰减与氢气经济价值折现因素。基于此,设计双层嵌套优化框架:内层基于动态规划实现各典型场景下的最优功率分配,外层通过粒子群算法优化系统容量配置。最后,以西藏八宿地区的环境数据作为场景案例,获得了1 000 m3/h目标制氢量下的最优配置方案,验证了所提策略在系统优化性能和经济性方面的优越性。

       

      Abstract: In order to solve the problems of low system efficiency and insufficient economy caused by the high dimensional volatility of environmental data during the configuration of off-grid wind-solar electrolysis hydrogen production system, an optimization study was conducted on the capacity of photovoltaic, wind turbine, and storage battery in typical scenarios. First, a mathematical model of key components including the electrolyzer life model was constructed. Subsequently, scenario generation technology was innovatively adopted to compress the annual environmental data into 12 typical scenarios to reduce the complexity of optimization. Meanwhile, the minimization of levelized hydrogen production cost was taken as the objective function, and the factors of electrolyzer life decay and economic value discount of hydrogen were considered. Based on this, a two-layer nested optimization framework was designed: the inner layer realized the optimal power allocation under each typical scenario based on dynamic programming, and the outer layer optimized the system capacity allocation by particle swarm algorithm. Finally, the environmental data of Basu area in Tibet was used as a scenario case to obtain the optimal configuration under the target hydrogen production capacity of 1 000 m3/h, which verified the superiority of the proposed strategy in terms of system optimization performance and economy.

       

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