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    基于MLO-HIKAN的CFB机组快速变负荷工况SO2排放浓度预测

    Prediction of SO2 Emission Concentration for CFB Units Under Quick Load Change Conditions Based on MLO-HIKAN

    • 摘要: 针对循环流化床(CFB)机组快速变负荷工况下SO2排放浓度预测难题,从燃烧原理出发,剖析炉内SO2生成与还原机理,构建即燃碳燃烧、O2动态平衡及活性石灰石模型,并基于此建立SO2排放浓度预测模型。选取给煤量、床温、总风量、石灰石给料量等作为输入变量,结合多维相关性分析,引入即燃碳量、动态O2浓度、活性石灰石量等关键中间参数作为扩展输入,重构数据集。采用Kolmogorov-Arnold网络(KAN)训练重构数据集,构建混合输入神经网络(HIKAN),并结合元学习优化器(MLO)优化模型超参数,提出MLO-HIKAN预测模型。算例结果表明,该模型在快速变负荷工况下对SO2排放浓度预测具有较高准确性,为CFB机组环保运行提供了新方法。

       

      Abstract: To address the challenge of predicting SO2 concentration under quick load change conditions for circulating fluidized bed (CFB) units, from the principles of combustion, the mechanisms of SO2 generation and reduction within the furnace were analyzed, and models were constructed for the combustion of char, dynamic oxygen balance, and reactive limestone. Based on these models, an SO2 concentration prediction model was established. The model took coal feed rate, bed temperature, total air flow, and limestone feed rate as input variables. By integrating multidimensional correlation analysis, key intermediate parameters such as char combustion rate, dynamic O2 concentration, and reactive limestone were introduced as extended inputs to reconstruct the dataset. The reconstructed dataset was trained using the Kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN) to build a hybrid input Kolmogorov-Arnold network (HIKAN). The model hyperparameters were optimized using the meta-learning optimizer (MLO), resulting in the proposed MLO-HIKAN prediction model. Case study results demonstrate that this model achieves high accuracy in predicting SO2 emission concentration under quick load change conditions, providing a new method for the environmentally friendly operation of CFB units.

       

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