高级检索

    战略备用煤电机组的成本效益分析

    Cost Benefit Analysis for Strategic Reserve Generation Units

    • 摘要: 气候变化导致极端天气频次升高,电力系统的安全稳定受到挑战。现有对战略备用机组的研究多为政策分析或者从机组成本和售电收入等角度进行建模仿真,无法全面反映其带来的经济社会影响。为综合分析战略备用机组的经济性,建立了考虑保障经济生产、居民健康效益和劳动力水平等方面收益以及电厂投资运维成本的成本效益分析模型,并以四川省限电事件为案例进行分析。结果表明:四川省限电事件中,战略备用机组可带来的度电效益为4.77 元/(kW·h),战略备用机组所带来的度电成本约为1.91 元/(kW·h),而使用已完成折旧的机组作为战略备用机组所带来的度电成本约为0.47 元/(kW·h),所以从全社会角度分析,建设运营战略备用机组是经济可行的;机组运行时长是影响战略备用机组度电成本的最关键因素,一年内低于89h 的运行时长会使得机组度电成本高于其社会效益。

       

      Abstract: Extreme weather events become more frequent because of climate change, posing a threat to the security and stability of the electricity system. Current researches about strategic reserve generation units mainly focus on policy evaluations or modelling simulations from the perspective of unit costs and power sale income, which do not adequately account for the economic and social effects they can bring. In order to comprehensively analyze the economics of strategic reserve generation units, a cost-benefit analysis model was established from the perspective of the whole society, considering the benefits including the guarantees for the economic production, health benefits for residents and labor force level, and the costs of strategic reserve generation unit investment and operation, and Sichuan power restriction event was taken as a case study for analysis. Results show that the benefit for 1 kW·h electricity that can be brought by the strategic reserve generation units is 4.77 yuan/(kW·h) and the required costs for 1 kW·h electricity generated by building new strategic backup units and using units that are close to retirement were about 1.91 yuan/(kW·h) and 0.47 yuan/(kW·h), respectively. Thus it is economically feasible to build and operate the strategic reserve generation units from the whole society perspective. At the same time, the operating hours are the most critical factor affecting the cost of strategic reserve generation units, and if the operating hours are less than 89 hours in a year, the unit's cost of electricity will be higher than its social benefits.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回